DOGE Rebounds From $0.21 Floor, 'Cup-and-Handle' Pattern Targets $0.30

Dogecoin fell 5% in the 24-hour period from Aug. 28 at 09:00 to Aug. 29 at 08:00, tracking broader risk-asset weakness, according to CoinDesk Research's technical analysis model.

Between Aug. 24–25, an unknown whale shifted 900 million DOGE (~$200 million) to Binance wallets, fueling concerns of distribution and triggering market volatility, the model showed.

Open interest in DOGE futures slipped 8% after the inflows, reflecting lighter speculative positioning. Meanwhile, on-chain data shows whales continue to build exposure, with 680 million DOGE accumulated in August, signaling institutional demand despite retail selling.

However, Dogecoin’s network fundamentals remain firm, with hashrate climbing above 2.9 petahashes per second, underscoring mining security at record levels.

Price action summary

• DOGE dropped from $0.22 to $0.21 in the 24-hour trading window, a 5% decline across a $0.011 (≈3%) range between $0.23 and $0.21.
• The sharpest move occurred at 07:24–08:23 GMT on Aug. 29, when DOGE fell 0.57% from $0.22 to $0.21 on a 27.36 million volume spike at 08:20.
• Mid-session flows of 626.3 million tokens coincided with the $0.22 breakdown, cementing $0.21 as immediate support.
• Despite pressure, the token consolidated near $0.21 into the session close, suggesting stabilization after heavy liquidation.

Technical analysis

• Support: $0.21 holds as the primary floor; breach risks extension to $0.20.
• Resistance: $0.23 remains the short-term ceiling after repeated rejections.
• Momentum: RSI hovers near mid-40s, reflecting neutral-to-bearish bias.
• MACD: Bearish divergence persists, with no confirmed crossover yet.
• Patterns: Tight $0.21–$0.23 consolidation suggests compression phase; direction will hinge on resolution of whale flows.
• Volume: Elevated 626.3 million during the $0.22 breakdown signals continued institutional distribution.

What traders are watching

• Whether $0.21 support can hold under ongoing whale selling.
• A breakout above $0.23 could open the path toward $0.25–$0.30.
• Signs of renewed institutional accumulation as whales move supply onto exchanges.
• Futures open interest trends after the 8% drop, a key signal for leveraged demand.